The Breakdown for Election Day, Nov. 4 2008!

Wow... It's almost over. The results will start coming in, around six hours from now.

Before I do anything else, everyone who reads this site should go an read "The top ten reasons you should ignore exit polls" that Nate posted today. He tells us why, even more than usual, exit polls don't tell us a thing this year.

Ok, Here's the movement:
VA and OH: Weak Obama to Barely Obama
MO: Barely McCain to Tied
WV: Weak McCain to Strong McCain

Now everybody go VOTE! Remember, the future of the Economy depends on it, the future of the Health Care depends on it, the future of the Environment depends on it, the future of the War depends on it... The future of the WORLD depends on it. There has never been such an important or historic election in our nations history, so PLEASE be a part of it!

Obama's EV count in states where he's polling over 50%: 287 EVs. (291 if you include RI which is under 50%, but with a 22 point margin)

If the election were held today and...	Obama	McCain
...all McCain <5% went to Obama	406	132
...all Obama <5% went to McCain	278	260
Shift since yesterday:	+0	+33
Shift this week:	+0	+28

(See this post for an explanation of these numbers.)

For the raw poll data and more details, see this day's page on Electoral-Vote.com: