The Breakdown for Sept. 27

Only minor changes in todays numbers. An ARG poll shows McCain with a 3 point lead in CO, so averaged with the other polls, that moves it back into the weak Obama column. That poll seems to be an outlier, since the previous four polls on EV.com and five polls on fivethirtyeight.com all show Obama with a sizeable lead.

One new feature was added to the site yesterday, but I didn't have time to mention it. I'm including the banner from Electoral-Vote.com in each day's post, and it's linked to that day's map on the EV.com site. This adds a mini-map for the day, the day's top-level numbers and a link for more detailed analysis all in one tiny space. Becuase that banner is auto-generated and not saved on EV.com, I have to manually save a local copy. That means that I have no way to go back and add them on days before the 25th.

If the election were held today and...	Obama	McCain
...all McCain <5% went to Obama	375	163
...all Obama <5% went to McCain	250	288
Shift since yesterday:	+0	+9
Shift this week:	+21	-35

(See this post for an explanation of these numbers.)