| If the election were held today and... | Obama | McCain |
| ...all McCain <5% went to Obama | 375 | 163 |
| ...all Obama <5% went to McCain | 277 | 261 |
| Shift since yesterday: | +0 | +27 |
| Shift this week: | +0 | -27 |
(See this post for an explanation of these numbers.)
For the raw poll data and more details, see this day's page on Electoral-Vote.com:
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