| If the election were held today and... | Obama | McCain |
| ...all McCain <5% went to Obama | 380 | 158 |
| ...all Obama <5% went to McCain | 282 | 256 |
| Shift since yesterday: | +0 | -0 |
| Shift this week: | +5 | -18 |
(See this post for an explanation of these numbers.)
For the raw poll data and more details, see this day's page on Electoral-Vote.com:


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